MX23RW : Tuesday, February 11 01:06:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Feb 2, 2025 at 12am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
Sarmiento

Lanus
2 - 0
Sarmiento

Moreno (5'), Salvio (23')
Izquierdoz (25'), Pena Biafore (60')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Magnin (54'), Manuel Insaurralde (85')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Sarmiento.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lanus

All competitions
Last Game: Rosario 2-1 Lanus
Tuesday, January 28 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Sarmiento

All competitions
Last Game: Sarmiento 0-0 Godoy Cruz
Tuesday, January 28 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 16.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.13%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.08%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
LanusDrawSarmiento
57.46% (1.327 1.33) 26.45% (-0.293 -0.29) 16.09% (-1.031 -1.03)
Both teams to score 36.42% (-1 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.41% (-0.308 -0.31)64.6% (0.31100000000001 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.39% (-0.219 -0.22)83.61% (0.22 0.22)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.11% (0.43299999999999 0.43)22.89% (-0.431 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.36% (0.63200000000001 0.63)56.64% (-0.63 -0.63)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.22% (-1.57 -1.57)52.78% (1.573 1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.5% (-1.024 -1.02)86.51% (1.028 1.03)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 57.46%
    Sarmiento 16.09%
    Draw 26.44%
LanusDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 17.81% (0.43 0.43)
2-0 @ 13.13% (0.48 0.48)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 6.46% (0.314 0.31)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.38% (0.145 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 57.46%
0-0 @ 12.08% (0.14 0.14)
1-1 @ 11.38% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 2.68% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.273 -0.27)
1-2 @ 3.64% (-0.256 -0.26)
0-2 @ 2.47% (-0.208 -0.21)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 16.09%

Head to Head
Aug 30, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 13
Sarmiento
0-0
Lanus
Monaco (71')
Diaz (72')
Feb 14, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 5
Sarmiento
0-1
Lanus

Diaz (66')
Boggio (73')
Luciatti (41'), Boggio (58')
Sep 19, 2023 12am
Gameweek 5
Lanus
0-0
Sarmiento
Diaz (17'), Pena Biafore (27'), Esquivel (53')
Diaz (45+1'), Calcaterra (69'), Marinelli (75'), Fontana (86')
Marinelli (75'), Mainero (90+5')
Apr 22, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Lanus
2-1
Sarmiento
Diaz (28' pen., 45+1')
Lopez (68')
Aug 6, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 12
Sarmiento
2-1
Lanus
Lopez (6', 45+3')
Aguirre (69')
rhs 2.0
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