Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 76.26%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 9.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-2 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.