Union

1 - 3

Newell's OB

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 34.47%. A win for Union had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 32.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.89%) and 1-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Union win was 1-0 (14.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.