Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 77.99%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Sputnik had a probability of 8.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.86%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.73%), while for a Sputnik win it was 2-1 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
