Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 54.72%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 23.66% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
-0.27) 
0.13) 
