Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 5
May 4, 2024 at 3pm UK
Edmond Machtens-Stadion
RWDM1 - 3Charleroi
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between RWD Molenbeek and Charleroi.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: RWDM 0-1 Kortrijk
Sunday, April 28 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Sunday, April 28 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Eupen 1-2 Charleroi
Friday, April 26 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Friday, April 26 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Goals
for
for
31
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for RWD Molenbeek had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest RWD Molenbeek win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.
Result | ||
RWD Molenbeek | Draw | Charleroi |
31.16% ( 0.56) | 24.91% ( -0.14) | 43.93% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 56.57% ( 0.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.45% ( 0.86) | 46.55% ( -0.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.17% ( 0.8) | 68.83% ( -0.8) |
RWD Molenbeek Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.82% ( 0.8) | 28.18% ( -0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.13% ( 1) | 63.87% ( -1) |
Charleroi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.77% ( 0.17) | 21.23% ( -0.17) |