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Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
Apr 21, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Raimundo Sampaio
Cruzeiro

Atletico Mineiro
3 - 0
Cruzeiro

Zaracho (25'), Paulinho (35'), Arana (45+2')
Paulinho (68'), Lemos (89')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Marcelo (65'), Silva (72')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Cruzeiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Cruzeiro
Thursday, April 18 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 48.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 24.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawCruzeiro
48.99% (0.2 0.2) 26.92% (0.16 0.16) 24.09% (-0.358 -0.36)
Both teams to score 45.48% (-0.753 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.43% (-0.803 -0.8)58.57% (0.807 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.87% (-0.63 -0.63)79.14% (0.634 0.63)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)24.02% (0.26 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.73% (-0.369 -0.37)58.28% (0.372 0.37)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.86% (-0.785 -0.79)40.15% (0.78700000000001 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.22% (-0.724 -0.72)76.79% (0.727 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 48.99%
    Cruzeiro 24.09%
    Draw 26.92%
Atletico MineiroDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 13.75% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.66% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 48.99%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.64% (0.291 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.081 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.73% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 24.09%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Atletico Mineiro
0-1
Cruzeiro

Fuchs (41'), Zaracho (57'), Lemos (90')
Jemerson (87' og.)
Neris (39'), Jussa (42'), Elias (90')
Jun 3, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 9
Cruzeiro
0-1
Atletico Mineiro

Jussa (26'), Mesquita (32'), Moura (45+9'), Wallisson (45+1'), Neris (85'), Castan (90+6')
Hulk (27')
Otavio (34'), Coudet (67'), Hyoran (71'), Everson (76'), Hulk (90+1'), Saravia (90+8')
Nov 10, 2019 7pm
Aug 4, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 13
Atletico Mineiro
0-0
Cruzeiro
Vinicius (45'), Nathan (92')
Elias (57'), Jair (67')

Manuel Orejuela (33'), Neves (35'), Fred (63')
Sep 16, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 25
Cruzeiro
0-0
Atletico Mineiro
Romero (12'), Cabral (74'), Ezequiel (80')
Warken (11')
rhs 2.0
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11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
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14Gremio38129174450-645
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