B. Leverkusen5 - 1Freiburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
for
We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen have looked much more resilient in recent weeks, and with most of their squad available, they should be considered favourites. Additionally, the hosts boast a phenomenal home record while Freiburg's form on the road has been poor, so it would not be surprising if Saturday's clash was relatively straightforward for Alonso's side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 10.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Freiburg |
72.49% ( 0.17) | 16.67% ( -0.09) | 10.85% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.6% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.23% ( 0.25) | 37.77% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.99% ( 0.27) | 60.02% ( -0.26) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.91% ( 0.11) | 9.1% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.1% ( 0.24) | 30.9% ( -0.24) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.66% ( 0.04) | 44.34% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.6% ( 0.03) | 80.4% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-0 @ 11.59% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.15% Total : 72.49% | 1-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0)Other @ 0.94% Total : 16.67% | 0-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 2% Total : 10.85% |
