MX23RW : Monday, March 10 15:36:28| >> :60:330:330:
Leverkusen logo
Champions League | League Stage
Nov 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
BayArena
Red Bull Salzburg

B. Leverkusen
5 - 0
Salzburg

Wirtz (8' pen., 30'), Grimaldo (11'), Schick (61'), Garcia (72')
Andrich (65')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salzburg 1-2 LASK
Saturday, November 23 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 Red Bull Salzburg

Salzburg's stellar beating of a 10-man Feyenoord side was not a sign of things to come for Tuesday's visitors, who are still flattering to deceive domestically and are at risk of a rude awakening in Leverkusen. Even with a handful of attacking talents missing through injury, Alonso's men should prove far too potent for Salzburg's young guns, and the Bundesliga champions have our vote to stroll to a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 59.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 20.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 1-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Red Bull Salzburg win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawRed Bull Salzburg
59.2% (0.47900000000001 0.48) 20.61% (-0.169 -0.17) 20.19% (-0.307 -0.31)
Both teams to score 60.19% (0.1 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.33% (0.36199999999999 0.36)36.67% (-0.361 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.17% (0.391 0.39)58.83% (-0.389 -0.39)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.85% (0.25 0.25)12.15% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.25% (0.523 0.52)37.75% (-0.521 -0.52)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.52% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)31.48% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.13% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)67.87% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 59.2%
    Red Bull Salzburg 20.19%
    Draw 20.61%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawRed Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.5% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.06% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.9% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.97% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.99% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.64% (0.068 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.15% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.1% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.53% (0.043 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.33% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 59.2%
1-1 @ 9.32% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.82% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.61%
1-2 @ 5.38% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
0-1 @ 4.42% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 20.19%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Salzburg

Bayer Leverkusen
90.5%
Draw
5.0%
Red Bull Salzburg
4.5%
179
rhs 2.0
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