Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 15.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a FC Koln win it was 2-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.