MX23RW : Monday, March 10 12:28:31| >> :60:523:523:
Real Madrid logo
Champions League | League Stage
Nov 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Milan logo

Real Madrid
1 - 3
AC Milan

Junior (23' pen.)
Camavinga (58'), Vazquez (68'), Militao (68'), Junior (71')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Thiaw (12'), Morata (39'), Reijnders (73')
Morata (21'), Fofana (85')

The Match

Match Report

AC Milan stun Real Madrid in the Champions League at the Santiago Bernabeu with Malick Thiaw, Alvaro Morata and Tijjani Reijnders goals sealing a 3-1 win.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and AC Milan.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Tuesday's Champions League clash with Italian giants AC Milan.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with AC Milan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 0-1 AC Milan
Saturday, November 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 52.08%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Real MadridDrawAC Milan
52.08% (0.672 0.67) 22.1% (-0.179 -0.18) 25.82% (-0.491 -0.49)
Both teams to score 62.45% (0.151 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.93% (0.412 0.41)37.07% (-0.409 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.74% (0.442 0.44)59.26% (-0.438 -0.44)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.57% (0.36799999999999 0.37)14.43% (-0.365 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.64% (0.704 0.7)42.36% (-0.701 -0.7)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98% (-0.136 -0.14)27.02% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.62% (-0.179 -0.18)62.38% (0.181 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 52.08%
    AC Milan 25.82%
    Draw 22.1%
Real MadridDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.55% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.31% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.17% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.72% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 4.04% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.99% (0.084 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.28% (0.072 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.047 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 52.08%
1-1 @ 9.88% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.9% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.76% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.1%
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-1 @ 5.1% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 25.82%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs AC Milan

Real Madrid
79.9%
Draw
12.0%
AC Milan
8.1%
432
Head to Head
Aug 1, 2024 1.30am
Club Friendlies
AC Milan
1-0
Real Madrid
Chukwueze (55')
Bakoune (86')
Jul 24, 2023 3.10am
Club Friendlies
Real Madrid
3-2
AC Milan
Valverde (57', 59'), Junior (84')
Tomori (25'), Romero (42')
Romero (47')
Aug 8, 2021 5.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Real Madrid
0-0
AC Milan
Calabria (40')
Jul 30, 2015 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Real Madrid
0-0
AC Milan
(Aggregate 0-0 | Real Madrid win 10-9 on penalties)
rhs 2.0
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