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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Crawley Town

Burton Albion
P-P
Crawley

Coverage of the League One clash between Burton Albion and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 3-1 Leicester U21s
Tuesday, August 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Next Game: Burton Albion vs. Stevenage
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 2-2 Brighton U21s (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Next Game: Wigan vs. Crawley
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%).

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCrawley Town
28.24% (4.941 4.94) 25.36% (1.139 1.14) 46.4% (-6.079 -6.08)
Both teams to score 53.4% (0.983 0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.07% (-0.89 -0.89)49.93% (0.892 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.08% (-0.8 -0.8)71.91% (0.801 0.8)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05% (3.611 3.61)31.95% (-3.611 -3.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (3.925 3.93)68.4% (-3.923 -3.92)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (-2.873 -2.87)21.52% (2.874 2.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42% (-4.616 -4.62)54.58% (4.616 4.62)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 28.24%
    Crawley Town 46.4%
    Draw 25.36%
Burton AlbionDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 7.85% (0.989 0.99)
2-1 @ 6.88% (0.923 0.92)
2-0 @ 4.48% (0.932 0.93)
3-1 @ 2.62% (0.564 0.56)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.285 0.29)
3-0 @ 1.7% (0.481 0.48)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 28.24%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.54 0.54)
0-0 @ 6.88% (0.245 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.282 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 10.56% (-0.57 -0.57)
1-2 @ 9.26% (-0.412 -0.41)
0-2 @ 8.11% (-1.239 -1.24)
1-3 @ 4.74% (-0.673 -0.67)
0-3 @ 4.15% (-1.082 -1.08)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.453 -0.45)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.603 -0.6)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 46.4%

Head to Head
Mar 31, 2012 3pm
Dec 10, 2011 3pm
Crawley
3-0
Burton Albion
Davis (22'), Tubbs (83'), Webster (56' og.)
Davis (90')

Bolder (10')
rhs 2.0
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