MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 16:13:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 20, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
Leverkusen logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Simons (7'), Openda (56')
Simons (71'), Schlager (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tella (47'), Tah (63'), Hincapie (90+1')
Tah (12'), Alonso (34'), Stanisic (38'), Wirtz (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, January 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

 An entertaining yet closely-fought contest is set to be in store between Leipzig and Leverkusen, who have both won three, drawn three and lost three of their last nine meetings against one another. Leverkusen have already dropped points in two games against fellow top-four teams this term, and Leipzig are certainly no pushovers on their day, but we believe that Alonso's side will ultimately find a way to claim maximum points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBayer Leverkusen
37.25% (-0.755 -0.76) 24.42% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 38.33% (0.83 0.83)
Both teams to score 59.88% (0.27 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.07% (0.35 0.35)42.92% (-0.348 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.67% (0.349 0.35)65.33% (-0.345 -0.34)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.11% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)22.89% (0.234 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.35% (-0.343 -0.34)56.65% (0.345 0.34)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (0.583 0.58)22.34% (-0.582 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (0.864 0.86)55.82% (-0.861 -0.86)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 37.25%
    Bayer Leverkusen 38.33%
    Draw 24.42%
RB LeipzigDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 7.54% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 5.56% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 37.25%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.033 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.102 0.1)
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.75% (0.109 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.23% (0.122 0.12)
2-3 @ 3.12% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.102 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.59% (0.073 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 38.33%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs B. Leverkusen

RB Leipzig
26.9%
Draw
17.6%
Bayer Leverkusen
55.6%
108
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
B. Leverkusen
3-2
RB Leipzig
Frimpong (24'), Tah (35'), Wirtz (64')
Okoh Boniface (69')
Olmo (39'), Openda (71')
Seiwald (62'), Lukeba (81')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 29
B. Leverkusen
2-0
RB Leipzig
> Preview
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
RB Leipzig
2-0
B. Leverkusen
Nkunku (32'), Werner (83')
> Preview
Apr 17, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 30
B. Leverkusen
0-1
RB Leipzig

Hincapie (48'), Andrich (72')
Szoboszlai (69')
Gvardiol (36')
> Preview
Nov 28, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 13
RB Leipzig
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Silva (62')
Forsberg (38')
Wirtz (21'), Diaby (34'), Frimpong (64')
Andrich (14'), Hradecky (82'), Frimpong (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610
> Bundesliga Full Table


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