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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 17, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
BayArena
Eintracht Frankfurt logo

B. Leverkusen
3 - 0
Frankfurt

Okoh Boniface (14'), Frimpong (51'), Wirtz (57')
Palacios (12')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gotze (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-1 Molde
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-0 Frankfurt
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

 With the title of Herbstmeisterschaft (winter champions) up for grabs here, Leverkusen show no signs of slowing down, and another win is set to come to extend their phenomenal start. Despite their stunning win last weekend, Frankfurt have not been showing much form at all and suffered another defeat in midweek, albeit with a rotated side, and are big underdogs here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 61.04%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 18.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 1-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawEintracht Frankfurt
61.04% (0.506 0.51) 20.03% (-0.35 -0.35) 18.93% (-0.158 -0.16)
Both teams to score 60.05% (0.992 0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.16% (1.423 1.42)35.84% (-1.422 -1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.07% (1.55 1.55)57.92% (-1.549 -1.55)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.61% (0.571 0.57)11.39% (-0.57 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.87% (1.227 1.23)36.13% (-1.225 -1.22)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (0.687 0.69)32.23% (-0.687 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28% (0.772 0.77)68.72% (-0.77200000000001 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 61.04%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 18.93%
    Draw 20.03%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.386 -0.39)
3-1 @ 7.1% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 6.27% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.02% (0.142 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.86% (0.151 0.15)
4-0 @ 3.41% (0.071 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.19% (0.125 0.13)
5-1 @ 1.68% (0.102 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.48% (0.064 0.06)
5-2 @ 0.95% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 61.04%
1-1 @ 9.03% (-0.261 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.072 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.67% (-0.266 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.03%
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.16% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 18.93%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Frankfurt

Bayer Leverkusen
94.4%
Draw
1.9%
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.7%
54
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
B. Leverkusen
3-1
Frankfurt
Adli (10'), Diaby (34'), Azmoun (90+5')
Sow (74')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Frankfurt
5-1
B. Leverkusen
Kamada (45+5' pen., 72' pen.), Kolo (58'), Lindstrom (65'), Alario (86')
Hincapie (56')
> Preview
May 2, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
B. Leverkusen
2-0
Frankfurt
Paulinho (18'), Schick (51')
> Preview
Dec 12, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Frankfurt
5-2
B. Leverkusen
Tuta (23'), Lindstrom (30'), N'Dicka (50'), Jakic (66'), Sow (76')
Schick (5', 22')
Frimpong (48'), Aranguiz (55'), Hincapie (61')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
B. Leverkusen
3-1
Frankfurt
Bailey (70'), Alario (80'), Demirbay (90+1')
Palacios (76')
Silva (90+1')
N'Dicka (87')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316
> Bundesliga Full Table


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