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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Wolfsburg

RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Nkunku (5' pen., 90')
Henrichs (8'), Laimer (47'), Werner (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Arnold (26'), Otavio (51'), Baku (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: RB Leipzig 2-0 Wolfsburg

We expect Leipzig to record their first victory of the season on Saturday, with Wolfsburg lacking sharpness in transition to significantly hurt the home side. Tedesco's side have been dominating games without testing opposition goalkeepers enough, but that should change in front of an expectant Red Bull Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 15.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawWolfsburg
64.85% (0.52800000000001 0.53) 19.4% (-0.131 -0.13) 15.74% (-0.402 -0.4)
Both teams to score 55.4% (-0.498 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.27% (-0.199 -0.2)38.73% (0.195 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.96% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)61.04% (0.205 0.2)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.76% (0.079999999999998 0.08)11.23% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.2% (0.178 0.18)35.79% (-0.183 -0.18)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.41% (-0.618 -0.62)37.59% (0.615 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.63% (-0.612 -0.61)74.37% (0.607 0.61)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 64.85%
    Wolfsburg 15.74%
    Draw 19.4%
RB LeipzigDrawWolfsburg
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.159 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.115 0.12)
3-0 @ 7.35% (0.141 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.2% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.02% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.93% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.76% (0.045 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.72% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 64.85%
1-1 @ 9.03% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.4%
1-2 @ 4.42% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-1 @ 4.13% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.02% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.74%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Wolfsburg

RB Leipzig
89.5%
Draw
8.8%
Wolfsburg
1.8%
57
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-0
Wolfsburg
Orban (76'), Gvardiol (84')
Simakan (34'), Henrichs (37'), Kampl (67'), Olmo (73'), Adams (82')

Lacroix (59')
Aug 29, 2021 4.30pm
May 16, 2021 7.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-2
Wolfsburg
Kluivert (51'), Sabitzer (78' pen.)
Henrichs (20'), Konate (36'), Sabitzer (45')
Philipp (12', 45+1')
Mbabu (52'), Arnold (60'), Baku (86')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
RB Leipzig
2-0
Wolfsburg
Poulsen (63'), Hee-chan (88')
Kampl (20'), Olmo (21'), Nkunku (25')

Otavio (5'), Lacroix (35')
Jan 16, 2021 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-2
RB Leipzig
Weghorst (22'), Steffen (35')
Otavio (48'), Mbabu (50'), Weghorst (59'), Lacroix (81')
Mukiele (5'), Orban (54')
Mukiele (42'), Kampl (71'), Angelino (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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