Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match.