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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Mainz logo

Werder Bremen
4 - 0
Mainz

Ducksch (3' pen.), Stage (53'), Bittencourt (82'), Njinmah (83')
Stage (10'), Friedl (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hanche-Olsen (2'), van den Berg (65'), van den Berg (65+65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-1 Mainz 05

Neither side are likely to be particularly confident after failing to win either of their opening two matches apiece, and there could be an element of cancelling each other out given that both managers adopt similar formations. However, there is enough quality in both teams' offensive units to produce an entertaining enough encounter, and we can envisage a share of the spoils between two sides who should have enough about them to avoid being automatically relegated. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawMainz 05
33.21% (-0.128 -0.13) 23.84% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 42.94% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 61.2% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.13% (-0.175 -0.18)40.86% (0.172 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.74% (-0.178 -0.18)63.25% (0.17599999999999 0.18)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (-0.158 -0.16)24.15% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (-0.226 -0.23)58.46% (0.221 0.22)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)19.31% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.93% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)51.06% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 33.21%
    Mainz 05 42.94%
    Draw 23.84%
Werder BremenDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.63% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 33.21%
1-1 @ 10.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.31% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.91% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.46% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.02%
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 42.94%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Mainz

Werder Bremen
39.3%
Draw
33.9%
Mainz 05
26.8%
56
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Mainz
2-2
Werder Bremen
Ajorque (85'), Weiper (90+3')
Stage (87'), Fullkrug (90+5')
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
Werder Bremen
0-1
Mainz

Sargent (63')
Szalai (16')
Boetius (66'), Zentner (83')
Dec 19, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Mainz
0-1
Werder Bremen

Barreiro (73'), Niakhate (82')
Dinkci (90')
Eggestein (50'), Gross (90+5')
Jun 20, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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