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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 54.2%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 23.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Mainz 05 |
54.2% ( -0.33) | 22.24% ( 0.14) | 23.56% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 59.31% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.94% ( -0.44) | 40.06% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.57% ( -0.46) | 62.43% ( 0.46) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.22% ( -0.26) | 14.78% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.97% ( -0.5) | 43.03% ( 0.5) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.6% ( -0.07) | 30.4% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.4% ( -0.09) | 66.6% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.09% Total : 54.2% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.94% Total : 23.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 53 | 13 | 40 | 42 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 38 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
5 | Stuttgart | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 19 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 17 |
14 | St Pauli | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
15 | Heidenheim | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 14 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 9 |
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