Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | VfL Bochum |
43.61% ( 0.37) | 24.1% ( -0.09) | 32.29% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 59.9% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.59% ( 0.29) | 42.41% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.18% ( 0.29) | 64.82% ( -0.29) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.34% ( 0.28) | 19.65% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.37% ( 0.45) | 51.63% ( -0.46) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.56% ( -0.03) | 25.44% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.74% ( -0.04) | 60.26% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | VfL Bochum |
2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.12% Total : 43.61% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |