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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 25, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Union Berlin logo

Werder Bremen
1 - 2
Union Berlin

Pieper (13')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Haberer (18'), Behrens (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 7-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, January 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-2 Union Berlin

Werder Bremen looked wide open defensively against Koln during their 7-1 defeat on Saturday, with only VfL Bochum and Schalke 04 possessing inferior goals against tallies than them so far this season. While Werner will have worked studiously on the training round in an attempt to tighten things up, these things rarely happen overnight, and we can envisage Union Berlin causing plenty of problems in transition on Wednesday to record successive victories. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Union Berlin in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result
Werder BremenDrawUnion Berlin
30.35% (-0.746 -0.75) 25.08% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 44.57% (0.70800000000001 0.71)
Both teams to score 55.59% (-0.489 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (-0.471 -0.47)47.65% (0.465 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (-0.435 -0.43)69.85% (0.42999999999999 0.43)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (-0.73999999999999 -0.74)29.27% (0.736 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (-0.916 -0.92)65.23% (0.911 0.91)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6% (0.124 0.12)21.4% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.61% (0.193 0.19)54.39% (-0.198 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 30.35%
    Union Berlin 44.57%
    Draw 25.08%
Werder BremenDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 7.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.73% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.99% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 30.35%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 9.66% (0.223 0.22)
1-2 @ 9.15% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.45% (0.2 0.2)
1-3 @ 4.7% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.83% (0.117 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.81% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.051 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 44.57%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin

Werder Bremen
23.1%
Draw
12.8%
Union Berlin
64.1%
117
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 2, 2021 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
0-2
Union Berlin

Gross (33'), Selke (53')
Becker (12'), Awoniyi (28')
Andrich (25'), Promel (44'), Hubner (50'), Becker (68')
Feb 8, 2020 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
0-2
Union Berlin

Selke (16'), Vogt (30'), Toprak (30'), Friedl (80')
Bulter (52', 72')
Trimmel (67'), Promel (80'), Andersson (86')
Sep 14, 2019 2.30pm
Union Berlin
1-2
Werder Bremen
Andersson (14' pen.)
Trimmel (54'), Subotic (80')
Subotic (89')
Klaassen (5' pen.), Fullkrug (55')
Fullkrug (19'), Sahin (76'), Bittencourt (83')
Sahin (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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