Ljubljana2 - 1Valmiera
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
We said: NK Olimpija Ljubljana 2-0 Valmiera
NK Olimpija Ljubljana have much more experience in the Champions League, while they also come into the game fresh off the back of a fantastic title-winning season and some solid performances in friendly matches. As such, we expect the Slovenian side to record a comfortable victory against a Valmiera side who are currently struggling in their domestic league. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Valmiera had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Valmiera win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana.
| Result | ||
| NK Olimpija Ljubljana | Draw | Valmiera |
46.14% ( 0.79) | 24.47% ( -0.16) | 29.39% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 57.11% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.58% ( 0.4) | 45.42% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.25% ( 0.38) | 67.75% ( -0.39) |
| NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.21% ( 0.5) | 19.79% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.15% ( 0.81) | 51.85% ( -0.81) |
| Valmiera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.2% ( -0.23) | 28.8% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.35% ( -0.28) | 64.65% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Olimpija Ljubljana | Draw | Valmiera |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.99% Total : 46.14% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.39% |
