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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2021 at 8pm UK
St Andrew's
Derby logo

Birmingham
2 - 0
Derby

Hogan (31'), Bela (81')
Sunjic (57'), Roberts (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Shinnie (24'), Morrison (76'), Lawrence (76')

The Match

Match Report

Scott Hogan and Jeremie Bela scored Birmingham's goals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 1-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawDerby County
30.4%29.21%40.39%
Both teams to score 43.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.82%63.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.4%82.6%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.63%37.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.85%74.15%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.32%30.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.07%66.92%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 30.4%
    Derby County 40.38%
    Draw 29.21%
Birmingham CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.28%
2-1 @ 6.56%
2-0 @ 5.55%
3-1 @ 2.15%
3-0 @ 1.82%
3-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 30.4%
1-1 @ 13.33%
0-0 @ 11.46%
2-2 @ 3.88%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.21%
0-1 @ 13.54%
0-2 @ 8%
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-3 @ 3.15%
1-3 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 0.93%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 40.38%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Derby

Birmingham City
55.1%
Draw
29.7%
Derby County
15.2%
158
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Dec 29, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
Birmingham
0-4
Derby
Bielik (15'), Shinnie (17' pen.), Kazim-Richards (26'), Knight (77')
Sibley (67')
Jul 22, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 46
Birmingham
1-3
Derby
Sunjic (56')
(90+4')
Shinnie (6'), Whittaker (87'), Sibley (90+1')
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 9
Derby
3-2
Birmingham
Martin (2'), Waghorn (50'), Paterson (74')
Holmes (44'), Bielik (45'), Malone (92')
Gardner (56'), Sunjic (59')
Alvaro (22')
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Birmingham
2-2
Derby
Jutkiewicz (2'), Morrison (18')
Gardner (38'), Jutkiewicz (56'), Adams (92')
Waghorn (7'), Keogh (28')
Bryson (45'), Waghorn (48'), Cole (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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