Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.