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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park
Middlesbrough logo

Blackburn
1 - 2
Middlesbrough

Hedges (5')
Hyam (90+4')
Buckley (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Forss (46'), McGree (56')
Hackney (8'), Crooks (49'), Smith (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Middlesbrough

Given Blackburn's continued inconsistency, it is impossible to predict which performance that they will deliver in any particular game. Nevertheless, Middlesbrough are playing to such a high standard under Carrick that we feel that they will edge this contest, potentially by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMiddlesbrough
31.93% (-0.229 -0.23) 25.67% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 42.4% (0.142 0.14)
Both teams to score 54.38% (-0.368 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.44% (-0.438 -0.44)49.55% (0.438 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.42% (-0.394 -0.39)71.58% (0.39299999999999 0.39)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.84% (-0.367 -0.37)29.16% (0.366 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.9% (-0.453 -0.45)65.09% (0.45100000000001 0.45)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.77% (-0.122 -0.12)23.23% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.86% (-0.178 -0.18)57.14% (0.177 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 31.93%
    Middlesbrough 42.4%
    Draw 25.66%
Blackburn RoversDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.045 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 31.93%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.77% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 9.89% (0.141 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.22% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.51% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 42.4%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Middlesbrough

Blackburn Rovers
31.9%
Draw
16.7%
Middlesbrough
51.4%
72
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Jan 24, 2022 7.45pm
Blackburn
1-0
Middlesbrough
Gallagher (76')
Nyambe (37'), Travis (50'), Wharton (90'), Edun (90+11')

Taylor (4'), Crooks (15'), Connolly (26'), Tavernier (29'), McNair (90+3'), Jones (90+9')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Middlesbrough
1-1
Blackburn
Howson (36')
Olusanya (87')
Morsy (81')
Gallagher (17')
Carter (19'), Travis (87'), Dolan (90+4')
Carter (79')
Jan 24, 2021 3pm
Nov 3, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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