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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Watford logo

Burnley
1 - 1
Watford

Obafemi (90+5')
Roberts (12'), Barnes (58'), Obafemi (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pedro (32')
Kamara (35'), Kone (70'), Pedro (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 3-0 Preston
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-0 Watford

Once again on home turf and with the visitors lacking any momentum, we can only envisage another dominant display from the Clarets on Tuesday, with Kompany's men seemingly cruising towards automatic promotion. We fancy Burnley to continue their impressive form at both ends of the pitch and add three more points to their tally at Turf Moor. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 67.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Watford had a probability of 12.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.18%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawWatford
67.08% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05) 20.29% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 12.63% (0.022 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.22% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (-0.058 -0.06)49.35% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)71.39% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.21% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)13.79% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.88% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)41.11% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)48.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.26% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)83.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 67.07%
    Watford 12.63%
    Draw 20.29%
BurnleyDrawWatford
1-0 @ 13.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 13.18%
2-1 @ 9.48%
3-0 @ 8.7% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.1% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-0 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 67.07%
1-1 @ 9.57% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.41%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 20.29%
0-1 @ 4.83% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.44% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.74% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 12.63%

How you voted: Burnley vs Watford

Burnley
90.2%
Draw
6.1%
Watford
3.8%
132
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2022 8pm
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Watford
1-2
Burnley
Tarkowski (8' og.)
Kucka (87')
Cork (83'), Brownhill (86')
Tarkowski (48'), Collins (90+1')
Feb 5, 2022 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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