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Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Watford logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Watford

Akpom (36'), Forss (45+3')
Howson (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cathcart (38'), Adeyemo (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-1 Rotherham
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Watford

Although they did suffer a disappointing defeat last time out, Middlesbrough are full of confidence under Carrick, and taking on a Watford side who are badly hit by injuries and struggling for consistency, we fancy them to come out on top at the Riverside Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Watford had a probability of 25.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawWatford
48.46% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01) 25.9% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 25.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.7% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.21% (0.018000000000001 0.02)53.78% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.74% (0.015000000000001 0.02)75.25% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.79%22.21% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.37% (0.0039999999999978 0)55.62% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (0.021000000000001 0.02)36.1% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (0.02 0.02)72.88% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 48.46%
    Watford 25.63%
    Draw 25.9%
MiddlesbroughDrawWatford
1-0 @ 12.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25%
2-0 @ 9.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 48.46%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.02% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 25.63%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Watford

Middlesbrough
55.2%
Draw
27.6%
Watford
17.2%
29
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 8pm
Watford
2-1
Middlesbrough
Sarr (24'), Issouf Bayo (90+3')
Sierralta (61'), Choudhury (90+2')
Muniz (4')
Crooks (38'), Jones (82'), McNair (87'), McGree (90+2')
Apr 5, 2021 12.30pm
Sep 11, 2020 7.45pm
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Oct 16, 2016 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
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4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
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15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
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22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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