Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 73.43%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 9.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.37%) and 3-0 (10.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.