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Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
West Brom logo

Leeds
1 - 1
West Brom

Ayling (72')
Gelhardt (15'), Shackleton (55'), James (61'), Struijk (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thomas-Asante (52')
Furlong (9'), Molumby (29'), Phillips (56'), Pieters (71'), Yokuslu (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Leeds United and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-1 West Bromwich Albion

With both teams failing to convince during the early weeks of the season, this is a difficult match to call. Although West Brom will hold a certain level of confidence from seeing off Swansea, they look vulnerable in defence, leading us to predict a narrow home triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawWest Bromwich Albion
35.46% (1.475 1.48) 24.47% (0.161 0.16) 40.07% (-1.631 -1.63)
Both teams to score 59.52% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.69% (-0.45800000000001 -0.46)43.31% (0.465 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.29% (-0.454 -0.45)65.71% (0.459 0.46)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (0.617 0.62)24.03% (-0.612 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (0.87 0.87)58.29% (-0.865 -0.87)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (-0.961 -0.96)21.65% (0.967 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (-1.497 -1.5)54.78% (1.503 1.5)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 35.46%
    West Bromwich Albion 40.07%
    Draw 24.47%
Leeds UnitedDrawWest Bromwich Albion
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.214 0.21)
1-0 @ 7.42% (0.279 0.28)
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.289 0.29)
3-1 @ 3.85% (0.168 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.179 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 35.46%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.106 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.09% (-0.238 -0.24)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.218 -0.22)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 40.07%

How you voted: Leeds vs West Brom

Leeds United
71.0%
Draw
15.9%
West Bromwich Albion
13.0%
69
Head to Head
May 23, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 38
Leeds
3-1
West Brom
Rodrigo (17'), Phillips (42'), Bamford (79' pen.)
Cooper (1'), Phillips (90+4')
Dec 29, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 16
West Brom
0-5
Leeds
Sawyers (9' og.), Alioski (31'), Harrison (36'), Rodrigo (40'), Raphinha (72')
Alioski (41')
Jan 1, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 26
West Brom
1-1
Leeds
Ajayi (2')
Krovinovic (40'), Bartley (72')
Ajayi (52' og.)
Cooper (67'), Ayling (70'), Costa (87')
Oct 1, 2019 7.45pm
Mar 1, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Leeds
4-0
West Brom
Hernandez (1'), Bamford (28', 63'), Alioski (92')

Barry (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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