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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium
Bristol City

Leicester
1 - 0
Bristol City

Vardy (67' pen.)
Faes (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (51'), Knight (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-2 Leicester
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 4-1 Plymouth
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 2-0 Bristol City

Having previously been undone at home by Hull, Leicester will take nothing for granted against an impressive Robins side. Nevertheless, the Foxes appear to be improving under Maresca and we are backing a professional performance and win to be produced by the title favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leicester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.

Result
Leicester CityDrawBristol City
44.95% (0.273 0.27) 25.69% (0.061 0.06) 29.36% (-0.332 -0.33)
Both teams to score 53.06% (-0.384 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.29% (-0.413 -0.41)50.71% (0.41500000000001 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.39% (-0.366 -0.37)72.61% (0.36699999999999 0.37)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)22.51% (0.049000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)56.08% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.47% (-0.453 -0.45)31.53% (0.455 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.08% (-0.526 -0.53)67.92% (0.529 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 44.94%
    Bristol City 29.36%
    Draw 25.69%
Leicester CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.92% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 44.94%
1-1 @ 12.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.1% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.19% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.73% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.36%

How you voted: Leicester vs Bristol City

Leicester City
70.3%
Draw
18.9%
Bristol City
10.8%
37
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2012 7.45pm
Bristol City
3-2
Leicester
Pitman (54'), Stead (79')
Stead (11'), McAllister (82')
Danns (77'), Dyer (41')
Wellens (9')
Aug 17, 2011 7.45pm
Leicester
1-2
Bristol City
Nugent (56')
Fernandes (23'), Bamba (45'), Gallagher (76')
Maynard (5', 66')
Skuse (43'), Wilson (45'), Nyatanga (76')
Feb 18, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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