Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.