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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
Barnsley

Millwall
4 - 1
Barnsley

McNamara (31', 47'), Burke (58'), Afobe (72')
Afobe (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Palmer (49')
Kitching (26'), (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 4-0 Barnsley
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Barnsley

We see Barnsley coming out firing as they desperately look to keep their survival hopes alive, and they should cause the hosts plenty of issues. The Den is never an easy place to visit, though, and we expect the Lions to have enough to, at least, force a share of the spoils against a team with arguably more to play for. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 19.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawBarnsley
54.57%26.17%19.26%
Both teams to score 41.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.69%60.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.53%80.47%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71%22.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25%55.75%
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.81%46.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.13%81.87%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 54.56%
    Barnsley 19.26%
    Draw 26.16%
MillwallDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 15.45%
2-0 @ 11.59%
2-1 @ 8.96%
3-0 @ 5.8%
3-1 @ 4.48%
4-0 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-1 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 54.56%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 10.29%
2-2 @ 3.46%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 7.95%
1-2 @ 4.61%
0-2 @ 3.07%
1-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 19.26%

How you voted: Millwall vs Barnsley

Millwall
62.5%
Draw
28.1%
Barnsley
9.4%
32
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Millwall
1-1
Barnsley
Cooper (45+2')
Mowatt (44')
Helik (17'), Mason (51')
Jun 27, 2020 1pm
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Millwall
1-2
Barnsley
O'Brien (85')
Wallace (75'), Molumby (88')
Chaplin (39'), Schmidt (93')
Juel Andersen (23'), Woodrow (82'), Diaby (85'), Halme (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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