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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Millwall win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 32.23% and a draw has a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Derby County win is 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.98%).
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Derby County |
40.29% ( 0.09) | 27.48% ( -0.02) | 32.23% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 48.81% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.26% ( 0.07) | 56.74% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.31% ( 0.06) | 77.69% ( -0.05) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.41% ( 0.09) | 27.59% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.88% ( 0.11) | 63.12% ( -0.1) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.41% ( -0.01) | 32.59% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.87% ( -0.01) | 69.13% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.28% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
3 | Burnley | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 |
4 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
5 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 16 |
6 | Watford | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 |
10 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Hull City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
14 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Bristol City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
18 | Millwall | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
19 | Preston North EndPreston | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 9 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 |
22 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
23 | Portsmouth | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 5 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 5 |
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