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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Millwall |
35.58% ( -0.02) | 27.52% ( 0.03) | 36.89% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.25% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.55% ( -0.13) | 56.45% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.55% ( -0.1) | 77.45% ( 0.1) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.77% ( -0.08) | 30.23% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.61% ( -0.09) | 66.39% ( 0.09) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.58% ( -0.07) | 29.42% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.59% ( -0.08) | 65.41% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.57% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 36.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 42 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
8 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 24 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Portsmouth | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 21 |
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