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Championship | Gameweek 1
Jul 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
Stoke logo

Millwall
2 - 0
Stoke

Cresswell (12', 65')
Cresswell (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Flint (44'), Kilkenny (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Ipswich
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Hearts
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Millwall 1-1 Stoke City

Millwall are the draw specialists in the Championship, and we would not be surprised to see another stalemate at The Den on Saturday. The Lions are more likely to finish higher than their forthcoming opponents this season, but there is little to split these sides on paper. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Millwall win with a probability of 46.08%. A draw has a probability of 27.7% and a win for Stoke City has a probability of 26.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Stoke City win it is 0-1 (9.52%).

Result
MillwallDrawStoke City
46.08% (-0.211 -0.21) 27.65% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 26.27% (0.191 0.19)
Both teams to score 45.33% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.31% (0.036000000000001 0.04)59.68% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20% (0.027000000000001 0.03)80% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.08% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)25.91% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.09% (-0.121 -0.12)60.91% (0.121 0.12)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.19% (0.186 0.19)38.81% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.46% (0.176 0.18)75.54% (-0.176 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 46.08%
    Stoke City 26.27%
    Draw 27.64%
MillwallDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 13.58% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.17% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 46.08%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.11% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 9.52% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.08% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 26.27%

How you voted: Millwall vs Stoke

Millwall
65.6%
Draw
29.5%
Stoke City
4.9%
61
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Stoke
2-0
Millwall
Brown (19'), Saville (70' og.)
Tymon (56'), Brown (65'), Thompson (84')

Ballard (85')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Millwall
2-1
Stoke
Bradshaw (51', 61')
Malone (32'), Smith (84')
Sawyers (20')
Souttar (45+1')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Stoke
1-2
Millwall
Brown (41')
Batth (37')
Wallace (36'), Bennett (71')
Wallace (90+3')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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