Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.