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Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 13, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien
Ajax

Union SG
vs.
Ajax

Preview: Union SG vs. Ajax - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League playoff between Union SG and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

After both edged into the Europa League playoffs last month, Union SG and Ajax will clash at Stade Roi Baudoin on Thursday evening.

The Dutch giants step across the border to Brussels for this week's opening leg - which marks the clubs' first competitive meeting - with a last-16 tie against either Lyon or Eintracht Frankfurt at stake.


Match preview

Machida Koki defender of Royale Union Saint-Gilloise issues instructions during the Jupiler Pro League match on July 30, 2024© Imago

Missing several late chances to snatch a draw, Union Saint-Gilloise ultimately lost their final league-phase fixture to Rangers in late January, when they were beaten 2-1 at Ibrox.

Having struggled to get going - both losing and drawing two of their first four matches - the Belgian club were always outsiders to reach the last 16 via a top-eight finish, so they were relatively content with a playoff place.

It was an increasingly rare setback for Sebastien Pocognoli's side, who have since won consecutive league games to extend an impressive run of form.

Following recent victories over Sint-Truidense and Kortrijk, an ascendant Union have won 13, drawn five and lost just two of their last 20 matches across all competitions.

Up to third in the Pro League standings as a result, USG are again outperforming their modest recent history - they last tasted any success back in the 1960s but are now a growing force in Belgium.

Europa League quarter-finalists in 2023, Les Unionistes must now try to win the first leg of a UEFA knockout tie for the first time in 66 years, having gone 10 without a win since then.

Ajax defender Jorrel Hato in December 2024.© Imago

Meanwhile, more recently, Ajax have won just one of their last 10 knockout games in Europe - somewhat fortunately beating Bodo/Glimt in last season's Conference League.

The Amsterdam club are undefeated in their last five trips to neighbouring Belgium, though, and they can count on the backing of 2,300 travelling fans.

Virtually assured of a playoff spot ahead of the final matchday, Francesco Farioli's side finished 12th in the table with a 2-1 home win over previously unbeaten Galatasaray.

That was the third of four straight successes at Johan Cruijff Arena - the most recent coming in Der Klassieker. Getting one over on old foes Feyenoord, Ajax snatched all three points as Kenneth Taylor netted a stoppage-time winner.

Then, they moved top of the Eredivisie for the first time in more than two years by beating Fortuna Sittard, as reigning champions PSV Eindhoven dropped points for the fourth time in five league matches.

After Wout Weghorst belatedly opened the scoring, Christian Rasmussen then slid in a second goal with almost the last kick, leaving them level on points with PSV - and holding one game in hand.

Union SG Europa League form:


Union SG form (all competitions):


Ajax Europa League form:


Ajax form (all competitions):



Team News

Ajax player Wout Weghorst on December 1, 2024© Imago

After an eventful cameo against Fortuna Sittard - where he came on after an hour, opened the scoring, then provided an assist - Wout Weghorst will be unavailable on Thursday, as the Ajax frontman also sustained a toe injury and has been ruled out for six weeks.

Having seen Chuba Akpom leave for Lille, Francesco Farioli now has just one senior striker at his disposal, so Brian Brobbey is set to start up front; supporting from out wide, Burkinabe winger Bertrand Traore has five goal involvements from six Europa League appearances this season.

Recent signing Youri Regeer has also been sidelined, soon after being brought in to replace Roma-bound Devyne Rensch, while Owen Wijndal and Mika Godts are still struggling with injuries.

Deadline day arrival Lucas Rosa has been named on the visitors' UEFA list, though, and veteran Jordan Henderson decided to stay for the rest of the season after almost signing for Monaco; key defender Jorrel Hato is back from a domestic suspension.

Meanwhile, Union will be without English centre-back Ross Sykes, who is still suspended after being sent off right at the end of last month's league-phase game against Braga.

Koki Machida has now served his one-match ban and can return to the hosts' lineup, albeit Ousseynou Niang is also in contention to operate along the left flank.

Sofiane Boufal and Alessio Castro-Montes are both doubtful due to injury, but Canadian striker Promise David has been added to USG's knockout-stage squad list; the latter could partner main marksman Franjo Ivanovic.


Union SG possible starting lineup:
Moris; Mac Allister, Burgess, Leysen; Khalaili, Vanhoutte, Van de Perre, Sadiki, Machida; Promise, Ivanovic

Ajax possible starting lineup:
Pasveer; Gaaei, Sutalo, Baas, Hato; Klaassen, Henderson, Taylor; Traore, Brobbey, Berghuis


SM words green background

We say: Union SG 1-1 Ajax

While both sides are improving, neither score bucket loads of goals, so a tight contest could unfold across the two legs.

An away draw would set Ajax up as favourites to progress after next week's return, and they should be able to keep in-form Union at arm's length.


For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.


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Written by
Jonathan O'Shea

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Data Failed

Who will win Thursday's Europa League clash between Union SG and Ajax?

Union SG
Draw
Ajax
Union SG
100%
Draw
0.0%
Ajax
0.0%
1
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Jorrel Hato of Ajax pictured on January 29, 2025
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League Phase

TeamPWDLPTS
QLazio861119
2Athletic Bilbao861119
3Man Utd853018
4Spurs852117
5Frankfurt851216
6Lyon843115
7Olympiacos843115
8Rangers842214
9Bodo/Glimt842214
10Anderlecht842214
11FCSB842214
12Ajax841313
13Real Sociedad841313
14Galatasaray834113
15Roma833212
16Plzen833212
17Ferencvaros840412
18Porto832311
19Midtjylland832311
20AZ832311
21Union SG832311
22FC Twente824210
23Fenerbahce824210
24Braga831410
25Elfsborg831410
26PAOK831410
27Hoffenheim82339
28Besiktas83059
29M. Tel Aviv82066
30Slavia Prague81255
31Malmo81255
32RFS81255
33Ludogorets80444
34Dynamo Kiev81164
35Nice80353
36Qarabag81073


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