Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.