Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Reading had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.