Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Reading had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.