Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.