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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Blackburn logo

Stoke
3 - 2
Blackburn

Hoever (24', 43'), Campbell (75')
Sterling (69'), Brown (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Brereton Diaz (86'), Gallagher (90')
Morton (74'), Brereton Diaz (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Blackburn Rovers

Despite the difference in league positions, this should be a competitive match between two sides producing some of their best form this season. However, with Stoke possessing a poor home record, we are backing Blackburn to come through in a tight contest, potentially by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 24.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
49.04% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27) 25.97% (0.115 0.11) 24.99% (0.153 0.15)
Both teams to score 48.94% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.5% (-0.32400000000001 -0.32)54.49% (0.323 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.14% (-0.27 -0.27)75.85% (0.268 0.27)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.74% (-0.254 -0.25)22.25% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.31% (-0.382 -0.38)55.69% (0.381 0.38)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.95% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)37.05% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.16% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)73.84% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 49.03%
    Blackburn Rovers 24.99%
    Draw 25.97%
Stoke CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 12.38% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.31% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.66% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 49.03%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.25% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.19% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.06% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 24.99%

How you voted: Stoke vs Blackburn

Stoke City
25.5%
Draw
14.8%
Blackburn Rovers
59.7%
149
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Blackburn
0-1
Stoke

Rankin-Costello (10'), Travis (41'), Famiwuya (59')
Baker (27')
Gayle (57'), Fosu (84'), Baker (90+6')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Stoke
0-1
Blackburn

Brown (60'), Davies (74'), Chester (75'), Wilmot (90')
Khadra (52')
Dolan (74'), Nyambe (81'), Pickering (89'), Brereton Diaz (90+1')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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