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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Blackburn logo

Stoke
3 - 2
Blackburn

Hoever (24', 43'), Campbell (75')
Sterling (69'), Brown (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Brereton Diaz (86'), Gallagher (90')
Morton (74'), Brereton Diaz (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Blackburn Rovers

Despite the difference in league positions, this should be a competitive match between two sides producing some of their best form this season. However, with Stoke possessing a poor home record, we are backing Blackburn to come through in a tight contest, potentially by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 24.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
49.04% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27) 25.97% (0.115 0.11) 24.99% (0.153 0.15)
Both teams to score 48.94% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.5% (-0.32400000000001 -0.32)54.49% (0.323 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.14% (-0.27 -0.27)75.85% (0.268 0.27)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.74% (-0.254 -0.25)22.25% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.31% (-0.382 -0.38)55.69% (0.381 0.38)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.95% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)37.05% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.16% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)73.84% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 49.03%
    Blackburn Rovers 24.99%
    Draw 25.97%
Stoke CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 12.38% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.31% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.66% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 49.03%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.25% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.19% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.06% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 24.99%

How you voted: Stoke vs Blackburn

Stoke City
25.5%
Draw
14.8%
Blackburn Rovers
59.7%
149
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Blackburn
0-1
Stoke

Rankin-Costello (10'), Travis (41'), Famiwuya (59')
Baker (27')
Gayle (57'), Fosu (84'), Baker (90+6')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Stoke
0-1
Blackburn

Brown (60'), Davies (74'), Chester (75'), Wilmot (90')
Khadra (52')
Dolan (74'), Nyambe (81'), Pickering (89'), Brereton Diaz (90+1')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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