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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Stoke logo

Sunderland
3 - 1
Stoke

Burstow (43'), Ba (49'), Ekwah (70')
Ballard (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Seelt (74' og.)
Wilmot (26'), Cundle (32'), Thompson (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 1-1 Stoke City

Given the reaction to the Hull defeat, Beale comes into this contest already facing widespread criticism. We feel that he will get back on track with a share of the spoils from this match, although that will not ease the pressure on his shoulders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
SunderlandDrawStoke City
37.22% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 25.01% (0.0019999999999989 0) 37.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.32% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)45.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.16% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.52% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)58.48% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (0.0040000000000049 0)23.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.95% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.05% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 37.22%
    Stoke City 37.78%
    Draw 25%
SunderlandDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.83%
3-0 @ 2.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 37.22%
1-1 @ 11.73%
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25%
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.02%
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 37.78%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Stoke

Sunderland
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Stoke City
28.6%
21
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
2-1
Sunderland
Mmaee (7'), McNally (47')
Johnson (21'), Burger (50'), Pearson (59'), Thompson (73'), Stevens (86')
Clarke (10')
Huggins (25'), Hume (34'), Clarke (64'), Aouchiche (90+4')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sunderland
1-5
Stoke
Pritchard (62')
Laurent (41'), Campbell (53', 57'), Gayle (68', 76')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-1
Sunderland

Taylor (45+4'), Delap (48'), Brown (58')
Stewart (45+2')
O'Nien (13'), Matete (18'), Embleton (42'), Wright (49'), Clarke (63'), Pritchard (81')
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-3
Stoke
Defoe (40')
Djilobodji (62'), van Aanholt (72'), Januzaj (95')
Arnautovic (15', 22'), Crouch (34')
Adam (56')
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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