MX23RW : Monday, December 23 01:25:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Watford logo

Swansea
4 - 0
Watford

Piroe (39', 78'), Cullen (74'), Latibeaudiere (87')
Grimes (9'), Darling (28'), Fulton (60'), Latibeaudiere (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kalu (69'), Bachmann (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 2-1 Swansea
Tuesday, December 27 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-2 Millwall
Monday, December 26 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-2 Watford

Swansea are severely lacking confidence given their recent form, and even away from home, the Hornets should have enough quality to condemn their hosts to another defeat and take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Watford had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawWatford
41.72% (-0.864 -0.86) 25.64% (-0.105 -0.11) 32.63% (0.967 0.97)
Both teams to score 54.72% (0.7 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.76% (0.749 0.75)49.23% (-0.749 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.7% (0.67 0.67)71.29% (-0.673 -0.67)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)23.42% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.58% (-0.142 -0.14)57.42% (0.141 0.14)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.45% (1.005 1.01)28.54% (-1.006 -1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.67% (1.242 1.24)64.33% (-1.244 -1.24)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 41.72%
    Watford 32.63%
    Draw 25.64%
Swansea CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.7% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.072999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.26 -0.26)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 41.72%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.109 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.171 0.17)
0-2 @ 5.26% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.19% (0.157 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.115 0.12)
1-4 @ 1% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 32.63%

How you voted: Swansea vs Watford

Swansea City
22.9%
Draw
17.1%
Watford
60.0%
70
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Sarr (34')
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
Grimes (67')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Watford
Lowe (43', 67')
Guehi (21'), Bidwell (33'), Grimes (45+1')
Cleverley (20')
Chalobah (42'), Masina (90')
Sep 24, 2019 7.45pm
Third Round
Watford
2-1
Swansea
Welbeck (28'), Pereyra (79')
Pereyra (91')
Surridge (34')
Grimes (93')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Carrillo (11')
Carrillo (30'), Doucoure (80'), Prodl (82'), Zeegelaar (89')
Ayew (86'), Narsingh (91')
Fernandez (3'), Carroll (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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