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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 16.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Reading |
60.96% ( -0.43) | 22.45% ( 0.05) | 16.58% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 47.28% ( 0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.53% ( 0.4) | 50.47% ( -0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.6% ( 0.35) | 72.39% ( -0.36) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.89% ( -0.01) | 16.11% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.47% ( -0.01) | 45.52% ( 0.01) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.36% ( 0.72) | 43.63% ( -0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.18% ( 0.59) | 79.82% ( -0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 12.83% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 11.71% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 60.96% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.75% Total : 22.44% | 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.59% Total : 16.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Millwall | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 37 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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