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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a West Bromwich Albion win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Leeds United |
23.12% ( -0.54) | 23.13% ( 0.08) | 53.75% ( 0.45) |
Both teams to score 55.72% ( -0.93) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.44% ( -0.93) | 44.56% ( 0.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.07% ( -0.9) | 66.93% ( 0.9) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.74% ( -0.98) | 33.25% ( 0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.13% ( -1.09) | 69.87% ( 1.09) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.48% ( -0.17) | 16.52% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.73% ( -0.31) | 46.27% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.34% Total : 23.12% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.13% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 5.88% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.35% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 42 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
8 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 24 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Portsmouth | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 21 |
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