MX23RW : Friday, January 17 10:04:01| >> :600:391234:391234:
Leeds logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
Middlesbrough logo

Leeds
0 - 3
Middlesbrough


Byram (35'), Firpo (45+4'), Struijk (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dijksteel (50'), Burgzorg (60'), Coburn (67')
Howson (25'), Ayling (69'), Gilbert (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Leeds United and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Middlesbrough

Leeds are likely to make a host of alterations to their XI for Wednesday night, but they should still have enough quality on the pitch to cause Middlesbrough serious issues. In comparison, Boro are not as well-endowed in terms of squad depth, so we are envisaging a swift first-round exit for last season's semi-finalists. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
49.89% (-0.468 -0.47) 23.85% (0.532 0.53) 26.26% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.75% (-1.875 -1.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.21% (-2.452 -2.45)44.78% (2.446 2.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.85% (-2.404 -2.4)67.14% (2.4 2.4)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.97% (-1.101 -1.1)18.03% (1.096 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.08% (-1.917 -1.92)48.91% (1.913 1.91)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23% (-1.343 -1.34)30.77% (1.339 1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.96% (-1.609 -1.61)67.03% (1.604 1.6)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 49.89%
    Middlesbrough 26.26%
    Draw 23.85%
Leeds UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.654 0.65)
2-0 @ 8.14% (0.282 0.28)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.211 -0.21)
3-0 @ 4.65% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.18 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.075 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.162 -0.16)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 49.89%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.38 0.38)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.223 -0.22)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.564 0.56)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.15 -0.15)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.54% (0.443 0.44)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 26.26%

How you voted: Leeds vs Middlesbrough

Leeds United
75.8%
Draw
12.9%
Middlesbrough
11.3%
62
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 44
Middlesbrough
3-4
Leeds
Jones (7'), Latte Lath (30', 87')
Latte Lath (35'), Jones (78'), Howson (80')
Summerville (14' pen., 61'), Bamford (18'), Gnonto (39')
Bamford (45+2')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Leeds
3-2
Middlesbrough
James (5'), Summerville (7'), Piroe (38' pen.)
Rutter (41'), James (45+6')
Latte Lath (3', 45')
Howson (37'), Clarke (37'), Dijksteel (45+5'), Jones (54'), Crooks (67'), Rogers (83')
Dijksteel (62')
Feb 26, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 30, 2019 3pm
Feb 9, 2019 1pm
Gameweek 31
Middlesbrough
1-1
Leeds
Wing (47')
Saville (59'), Howson (98')
Phillips (101')
Jansson (103')
rhs 2.0
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3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
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5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346


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