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Almeria
Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 15, 2025 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Leganes logo

Almeria
2 - 3
Leganes

Suarez Charris (38'), Lazaro (52')
Centelles (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Altimira (33'), de la Fuente (76' pen.), Garcia (86')
Cisse (43'), Raba (81'), Nastasic (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Almeria and Leganes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Cordoba 0-3 Almeria
Sunday, January 12 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Leganes

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Espanyol 1-1 Leganes
Saturday, January 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 2-1 Leganes

 Almeria may be competing in the league below Leganes, but in truth, there is little to choose between the two sides, with the hosts flying at the top of Segunda and the visitors currently battling to remain in La Liga. Having won seven of their last eight home games, we believe that the Andalusian team will do enough to claim a narrow win to seal their place in the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 49.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 25.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
AlmeriaDrawLeganes
49.18% (-0.229 -0.23) 25.5% (0.052 0.05) 25.31% (0.174 0.17)
Both teams to score 50.61% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.55% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)52.45% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.87% (-0.067 -0.07)74.12% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65% (-0.13 -0.13)21.34% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69% (-0.201 -0.2)54.3% (0.199 0.2)
Leganes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.35% (0.108 0.11)35.65% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.58% (0.111 0.11)72.42% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 49.18%
    Leganes 25.31%
    Draw 25.5%
AlmeriaDrawLeganes
1-0 @ 11.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.08% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.67% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 49.18%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.61% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 7.85% (0.046 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 25.31%

How you voted: Almeria vs Leganes

Almeria
84.0%
Leganes
16.0%
25
Head to Head
May 29, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 42
Leganes
2-2
Almeria
Garces (9'), Omeruo (42')
Palencia (48'), Bruno (57'), Riesgo (82'), Omeruo (84'), Makaridze (84')
Ely (15'), Sadiq (53')
Babic (25'), Sousa (90'), Ely (90+7')
> Preview
Oct 29, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 13
Almeria
1-0
Leganes
Portillo (30')
Akieme (89')

Randelovic (5')
Gonzalez (90+2')
Mar 27, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 31
Almeria
1-1
Leganes
Morlanes (90+2')
Fernandes (2'), Morlanes (90+1'), Maras (90+8')
Munoz (90+10' pen.)
Gonzalez (45+1'), Omeruo (73'), Riesgo (90+1')
Perez (16')
Feb 17, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 21
Leganes
2-1
Almeria
Baston (48'), Omeruo (90+5')
Sadiq (8')
Centelles (35'), Ramazani (41'), Petrovic (52')
rhs 2.0
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