Copa del Rey | First Round
Oct 30, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lucena
Lucena1 - 2Leganes
Agudo Perez (45+1')
Vela Resina (41'), Juan Morillo Aguilar (71'), Manuel Cruz Orozco (90+5'), Hervas (90+3')
Vela Resina (41'), Juan Morillo Aguilar (71'), Manuel Cruz Orozco (90+5'), Hervas (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leganes 3-0 Celta Vigo
Sunday, October 27 at 1pm in La Liga
Sunday, October 27 at 1pm in La Liga
We said: CD Ciudad de Lucena 0-3 Leganes
Even with their anticipated rotations, Leganes should have far too much quality all over the pitch for Wednesday's hosts, and we see them progressing with a relatively comfortable win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 65.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for CD Ciudad de Lucena had a probability of 11.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.02%) and 0-3 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.9%), while for a CD Ciudad de Lucena win it was 1-0 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CD Ciudad de Lucena | Draw | Leganes |
| 11.63% | 22.48% | 65.89% |
| Both teams to score 35.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
