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Cerro Largo logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Mar 17, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo
vs.
Cerro

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Cerro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-2 Danubio (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, March 6 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
Next Game: Wanderers vs. Cerro Largo
Monday, March 10 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 2-1 Juventud
Saturday, March 8 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 48.74%. A draw has a probability of 28.4% and a win for Cerro has a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Cerro win it is 0-1 (9.59%).

Result
Cerro LargoDrawCerro
48.74% (-0.318 -0.32) 28.36% (0.138 0.14) 22.9% (0.177 0.18)
Both teams to score 40.77% (-0.158 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.99% (-0.291 -0.29)64.01% (0.289 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.8% (-0.208 -0.21)83.19% (0.206 0.21)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (-0.295 -0.3)26.6% (0.293 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.17% (-0.39 -0.39)61.82% (0.387 0.39)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)44.45% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.51% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)80.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 48.73%
    Cerro 22.9%
    Draw 28.35%
Cerro LargoDrawCerro
1-0 @ 15.65% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.36% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 48.73%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 11.82% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 28.35%
0-1 @ 9.59% (0.105 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.15% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.89% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.39% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 22.9%

Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 5
Cerro Largo
3-1
Cerro
Sosa (4', 90+5'), German Cordoba (45+2')
Ferrares (45'), Wunsch (84')
Rabunal (43')
Macelli (50')
Jul 14, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 5
Cerro
0-1
Cerro Largo

Ramirez (57'), Gonzalez (58'), Macelli (71'), Abero (90+4')
De Luca Ibargoyen (8')
Garcia (29'), Ferrares (76')
Mar 24, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 5
Cerro
1-1
Cerro Largo
Scorza (49')
Rodriguez (90+3'), Abero (90+1')
Silveira (1')
Brasil (50'), Ferrares (56'), Assis (74'), Correa (82')
Nov 30, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 13
Cerro Largo
0-0
Cerro
Furtado (24'), Gianoli (33'), Nunez (88')
Ferrares (90+3')
Perez (8'), Rodriguez (69'), Caceres (90+6')
Jul 2, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 4
Cerro Largo
0-1
Cerro

Correa (76'), Brasil (89')
Garcia (56')
Perez (37'), Viudez (39'), Nandin (45'), Souza (47'), Garcia (57'), Fernandez (63'), Tizon (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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