MX23RW : Wednesday, October 23 01:19:06| >> :600:139348:139348:
Atletico Mineiro
Copa Libertadores | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Oct 23, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena MRV

Atletico Mineiro
1 - 0
River Plate

Deyverson (22')
LIVE
45'

Colidio (26'), Bustos (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Mineiro and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, October 19 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

We say: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 River Plate

This looks like a fairly even match, and we expect the opening leg to play out that way between two sound defensive units, but no one having a decisive edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for River Plate has a probability of 30.99% and a draw has a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest River Plate win is 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.97%).

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawRiver Plate
41.51% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 27.5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 30.99% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.34% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.86% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)57.14% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.99% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)78.01% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.89% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)27.11% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.51% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)62.49% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)33.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.67% (-0.004999999999999 -0)70.34% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 41.5%
    River Plate 30.99%
    Draw 27.5%
Atletico MineiroDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 11.91%
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.78% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 41.5%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 9.94% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 30.99%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs River Plate

Atletico Mineiro
33.3%
Draw
29.2%
River Plate
37.5%
24
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2021 1.30am
Aug 12, 2021 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
River Plate
0-1
Atletico Mineiro
Diaz (77'), Perez (90+2')
Fernandez (84')
rhs 2.0
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